Alimentation Couchen Tard Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 70.03

ATD Stock   81.91  0.89  1.07%   
Alimentation Couchen's future price is the expected price of Alimentation Couchen instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Alimentation Couchen Tard performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Alimentation Couchen Backtesting, Alimentation Couchen Valuation, Alimentation Couchen Correlation, Alimentation Couchen Hype Analysis, Alimentation Couchen Volatility, Alimentation Couchen History as well as Alimentation Couchen Performance.
  
At this time, Alimentation Couchen's Price To Sales Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 2nd of December 2024, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 22.20, while Price Book Value Ratio is likely to drop 2.74. Please specify Alimentation Couchen's target price for which you would like Alimentation Couchen odds to be computed.

Alimentation Couchen Target Price Odds to finish below 70.03

The tendency of Alimentation Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  70.03  or more in 90 days
 81.91 90 days 70.03 
about 1.04
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alimentation Couchen to drop to  70.03  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.04 (This Alimentation Couchen Tard probability density function shows the probability of Alimentation Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alimentation Couchen Tard price to stay between  70.03  and its current price of 81.91 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alimentation Couchen has a beta of 0.0647. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Alimentation Couchen average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alimentation Couchen Tard will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alimentation Couchen Tard has an alpha of 0.048, implying that it can generate a 0.048 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Alimentation Couchen Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Alimentation Couchen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alimentation Couchen Tard. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
80.5682.0183.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.1371.5890.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
80.3081.7583.20
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.660.760.82
Details

Alimentation Couchen Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alimentation Couchen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alimentation Couchen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alimentation Couchen Tard, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alimentation Couchen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
2.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Alimentation Couchen Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alimentation Couchen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alimentation Couchen Tard can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Alimentation Couchen Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alimentation Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alimentation Couchen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alimentation Couchen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding968.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.9 B

Alimentation Couchen Technical Analysis

Alimentation Couchen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alimentation Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alimentation Couchen Tard. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alimentation Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Alimentation Couchen Predictive Forecast Models

Alimentation Couchen's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alimentation Couchen's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alimentation Couchen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Alimentation Couchen Tard

Checking the ongoing alerts about Alimentation Couchen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alimentation Couchen Tard help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Alimentation Stock

Alimentation Couchen financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alimentation Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alimentation with respect to the benefits of owning Alimentation Couchen security.