Ascent Solar Technologies, Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.13
| ASTI Stock | USD 2.67 0.06 2.20% |
Ascent |
Ascent Solar Target Price Odds to finish below 0.13
The tendency of Ascent Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.13 or more in 90 days |
| 2.67 | 90 days | 0.13 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ascent Solar to drop to $ 0.13 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ascent Solar Technologies, probability density function shows the probability of Ascent Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ascent Solar Technol price to stay between $ 0.13 and its current price of $2.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.36 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ascent Solar has a beta of 0.49. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ascent Solar average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ascent Solar Technologies, will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ascent Solar Technologies, has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ascent Solar Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ascent Solar
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ascent Solar Technol. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ascent Solar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ascent Solar Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ascent Solar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ascent Solar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ascent Solar Technologies,, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ascent Solar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Ascent Solar Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ascent Solar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ascent Solar Technol can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ascent Solar Technol generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ascent Solar Technol has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Ascent Solar Technol has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Ascent Solar Technologies, currently holds 4.23 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 3.02, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Ascent Solar Technol has a current ratio of 0.71, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Ascent Solar's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 458.26 K. Net Loss for the year was (17.07 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (6.76 M). | |
| Ascent Solar Technologies, currently holds about 429.27 K in cash with (9.54 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Ascent Solar Technol has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Ascent Solar Technologies, Inc. Reports Earnings Results for the Third Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024 - Marketscreener.com |
Ascent Solar Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ascent Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ascent Solar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ascent Solar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 M |
Ascent Solar Technical Analysis
Ascent Solar's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ascent Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ascent Solar Technologies,. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ascent Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ascent Solar Predictive Forecast Models
Ascent Solar's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ascent Solar's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ascent Solar's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ascent Solar Technol
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ascent Solar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ascent Solar Technol help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ascent Solar Technol generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ascent Solar Technol has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Ascent Solar Technol has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Ascent Solar Technologies, currently holds 4.23 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 3.02, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Ascent Solar Technol has a current ratio of 0.71, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Ascent Solar's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 458.26 K. Net Loss for the year was (17.07 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (6.76 M). | |
| Ascent Solar Technologies, currently holds about 429.27 K in cash with (9.54 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Ascent Solar Technol has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Ascent Solar Technologies, Inc. Reports Earnings Results for the Third Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024 - Marketscreener.com |
Check out Ascent Solar Backtesting, Ascent Solar Valuation, Ascent Solar Correlation, Ascent Solar Hype Analysis, Ascent Solar Volatility, Ascent Solar History as well as Ascent Solar Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ascent Solar. If investors know Ascent will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ascent Solar listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.90) | Earnings Share 2.2 K | Revenue Per Share 1.79 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.73) | Return On Assets (0.49) |
The market value of Ascent Solar Technol is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ascent that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ascent Solar's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ascent Solar's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ascent Solar's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ascent Solar's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ascent Solar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ascent Solar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ascent Solar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.