Astor Star Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 16.41
| ASPGX Fund | USD 16.46 0.01 0.06% |
Astor |
Astor Star Target Price Odds to finish over 16.41
The tendency of Astor Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 16.41 in 90 days |
| 16.46 | 90 days | 16.41 | about 10.04 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Astor Star to stay above $ 16.41 in 90 days from now is about 10.04 (This Astor Star Fund probability density function shows the probability of Astor Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Astor Star Fund price to stay between $ 16.41 and its current price of $16.46 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.9 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Astor Star has a beta of 0.61. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Astor Star average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Astor Star Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Astor Star Fund has an alpha of 0.0685, implying that it can generate a 0.0685 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Astor Star Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Astor Star
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Astor Star Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Astor Star Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Astor Star is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Astor Star's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Astor Star Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Astor Star within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Astor Star Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Astor Star for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Astor Star Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: Hearing Entitled Innovation Revolution How Technology is Shaping the Future of Finance - House Financial Services Committee | |
| The fund holds about 17.88% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Astor Star Technical Analysis
Astor Star's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Astor Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Astor Star Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Astor Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Astor Star Predictive Forecast Models
Astor Star's time-series forecasting models is one of many Astor Star's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Astor Star's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Astor Star Fund
Checking the ongoing alerts about Astor Star for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Astor Star Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Hearing Entitled Innovation Revolution How Technology is Shaping the Future of Finance - House Financial Services Committee | |
| The fund holds about 17.88% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Astor Mutual Fund
Astor Star financial ratios help investors to determine whether Astor Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Astor with respect to the benefits of owning Astor Star security.
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