Arteche Lantegi (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.62

ART Stock   6.45  0.05  0.77%   
Arteche Lantegi's future price is the expected price of Arteche Lantegi instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Arteche Lantegi Elkartea performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Arteche Lantegi Backtesting, Arteche Lantegi Valuation, Arteche Lantegi Correlation, Arteche Lantegi Hype Analysis, Arteche Lantegi Volatility, Arteche Lantegi History as well as Arteche Lantegi Performance.
  
Please specify Arteche Lantegi's target price for which you would like Arteche Lantegi odds to be computed.

Arteche Lantegi Target Price Odds to finish over 4.62

The tendency of Arteche Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  4.62  in 90 days
 6.45 90 days 4.62 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arteche Lantegi to stay above  4.62  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Arteche Lantegi Elkartea probability density function shows the probability of Arteche Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Arteche Lantegi Elkartea price to stay between  4.62  and its current price of 6.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Arteche Lantegi has a beta of 0.0451. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Arteche Lantegi average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Arteche Lantegi Elkartea will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Arteche Lantegi Elkartea has an alpha of 0.0736, implying that it can generate a 0.0736 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Arteche Lantegi Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Arteche Lantegi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arteche Lantegi Elkartea. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.036.508.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.975.447.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.076.539.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.206.426.64
Details

Arteche Lantegi Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arteche Lantegi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arteche Lantegi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arteche Lantegi Elkartea, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arteche Lantegi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Arteche Lantegi Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arteche Lantegi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arteche Lantegi Elkartea can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 84.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Arteche Lantegi Technical Analysis

Arteche Lantegi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Arteche Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Arteche Lantegi Elkartea. In general, you should focus on analyzing Arteche Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Arteche Lantegi Predictive Forecast Models

Arteche Lantegi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Arteche Lantegi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Arteche Lantegi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Arteche Lantegi Elkartea

Checking the ongoing alerts about Arteche Lantegi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Arteche Lantegi Elkartea help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 84.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Arteche Stock

Arteche Lantegi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Arteche Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Arteche with respect to the benefits of owning Arteche Lantegi security.