Armac Locacao (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.26
| ARML3 Stock | 5.85 0.34 5.49% |
Armac |
Armac Locacao Target Price Odds to finish below 8.26
The tendency of Armac Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 8.26 after 90 days |
| 5.85 | 90 days | 8.26 | about 73.8 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Armac Locacao to stay under 8.26 after 90 days from now is about 73.8 (This Armac Locacao Logistica probability density function shows the probability of Armac Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Armac Locacao Logistica price to stay between its current price of 5.85 and 8.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Armac Locacao Logistica has a beta of -0.0278. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Armac Locacao are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Armac Locacao Logistica is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Armac Locacao Logistica has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Armac Locacao Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Armac Locacao
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Armac Locacao Logistica. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Armac Locacao. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Armac Locacao's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Armac Locacao's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Armac Locacao Logistica.Armac Locacao Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Armac Locacao is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Armac Locacao's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Armac Locacao Logistica, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Armac Locacao within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.58 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Armac Locacao Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Armac Locacao for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Armac Locacao Logistica can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Armac Locacao generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Armac Locacao has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Armac Locacao Technical Analysis
Armac Locacao's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Armac Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Armac Locacao Logistica. In general, you should focus on analyzing Armac Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Armac Locacao Predictive Forecast Models
Armac Locacao's time-series forecasting models is one of many Armac Locacao's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Armac Locacao's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Armac Locacao Logistica
Checking the ongoing alerts about Armac Locacao for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Armac Locacao Logistica help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Armac Locacao generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Armac Locacao has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Additional Tools for Armac Stock Analysis
When running Armac Locacao's price analysis, check to measure Armac Locacao's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Armac Locacao is operating at the current time. Most of Armac Locacao's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Armac Locacao's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Armac Locacao's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Armac Locacao to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.