Ark Restaurants Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.78
| ARKR Stock | USD 11.49 0.48 4.36% |
Ark |
Ark Restaurants Target Price Odds to finish below 10.78
The tendency of Ark Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 10.78 or more in 90 days |
| 11.49 | 90 days | 10.78 | about 29.65 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ark Restaurants to drop to $ 10.78 or more in 90 days from now is about 29.65 (This Ark Restaurants Corp probability density function shows the probability of Ark Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ark Restaurants Corp price to stay between $ 10.78 and its current price of $11.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ark Restaurants has a beta of 0.17. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ark Restaurants average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ark Restaurants Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ark Restaurants Corp has an alpha of 0.1083, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ark Restaurants Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ark Restaurants
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ark Restaurants Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ark Restaurants Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ark Restaurants is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ark Restaurants' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ark Restaurants Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ark Restaurants within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Ark Restaurants Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ark Restaurants for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ark Restaurants Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ark Restaurants Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 183.54 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.75 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 48.92 M. | |
| Ark Restaurants Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 46.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Ark Restaurants Corp. Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Ark Restaurants Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ark Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ark Restaurants' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ark Restaurants' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.3 M |
Ark Restaurants Technical Analysis
Ark Restaurants' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ark Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ark Restaurants Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ark Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ark Restaurants Predictive Forecast Models
Ark Restaurants' time-series forecasting models is one of many Ark Restaurants' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ark Restaurants' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ark Restaurants Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ark Restaurants for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ark Restaurants Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ark Restaurants Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 183.54 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.75 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 48.92 M. | |
| Ark Restaurants Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 46.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Ark Restaurants Corp. Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Additional Tools for Ark Stock Analysis
When running Ark Restaurants' price analysis, check to measure Ark Restaurants' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ark Restaurants is operating at the current time. Most of Ark Restaurants' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ark Restaurants' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ark Restaurants' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ark Restaurants to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.