Argen X (Belgium) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 649.88

ARGX Stock  EUR 590.80  8.40  1.44%   
Argen X's future price is the expected price of Argen X instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Argen X performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Argen X Backtesting, Argen X Valuation, Argen X Correlation, Argen X Hype Analysis, Argen X Volatility, Argen X History as well as Argen X Performance.
  
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Argen X Target Price Odds to finish over 649.88

The tendency of Argen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 649.88  or more in 90 days
 590.80 90 days 649.88 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Argen X to move over € 649.88  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Argen X probability density function shows the probability of Argen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Argen X price to stay between its current price of € 590.80  and € 649.88  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Argen X has a beta of -0.14. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Argen X are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Argen X is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Argen X has an alpha of 0.355, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Argen X Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Argen X

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Argen X. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
589.05590.80592.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
496.89498.64649.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
595.68597.44599.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
509.04553.28597.53
Details

Argen X Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Argen X is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Argen X's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Argen X, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Argen X within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
36.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Argen X Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Argen X for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Argen X can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 497.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (408.26 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (52.25 M).
Argen X has accumulated about 2.6 B in cash with (606.81 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 47.17.

Argen X Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Argen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Argen X's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Argen X's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding45.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.3 B

Argen X Technical Analysis

Argen X's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Argen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Argen X. In general, you should focus on analyzing Argen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Argen X Predictive Forecast Models

Argen X's time-series forecasting models is one of many Argen X's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Argen X's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Argen X

Checking the ongoing alerts about Argen X for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Argen X help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 497.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (408.26 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (52.25 M).
Argen X has accumulated about 2.6 B in cash with (606.81 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 47.17.

Additional Tools for Argen Stock Analysis

When running Argen X's price analysis, check to measure Argen X's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Argen X is operating at the current time. Most of Argen X's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Argen X's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Argen X's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Argen X to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.