Dunia Virtual (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 246.86
| AREA Stock | 216.00 12.00 5.26% |
Dunia |
Dunia Virtual Target Price Odds to finish below 246.86
The tendency of Dunia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 246.86 after 90 days |
| 216.00 | 90 days | 246.86 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dunia Virtual to stay under 246.86 after 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Dunia Virtual Online probability density function shows the probability of Dunia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dunia Virtual Online price to stay between its current price of 216.00 and 246.86 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.34 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dunia Virtual Online has a beta of -0.34. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dunia Virtual are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dunia Virtual Online is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Dunia Virtual Online has an alpha of 0.0654, implying that it can generate a 0.0654 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Dunia Virtual Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Dunia Virtual
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dunia Virtual Online. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dunia Virtual Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dunia Virtual is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dunia Virtual's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dunia Virtual Online, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dunia Virtual within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 15.87 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Dunia Virtual Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dunia Virtual for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dunia Virtual Online can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dunia Virtual Online generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Dunia Virtual Online has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Dunia Virtual Technical Analysis
Dunia Virtual's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dunia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dunia Virtual Online. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dunia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dunia Virtual Predictive Forecast Models
Dunia Virtual's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dunia Virtual's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dunia Virtual's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dunia Virtual Online
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dunia Virtual for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dunia Virtual Online help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dunia Virtual Online generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Dunia Virtual Online has high historical volatility and very poor performance |