Aquarius Engines (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 86.18
| AQUA Stock | ILA 105.10 1.90 1.84% |
Aquarius |
Aquarius Engines Target Price Odds to finish below 86.18
The tendency of Aquarius Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 86.18 or more in 90 days |
| 105.10 | 90 days | 86.18 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aquarius Engines to drop to 86.18 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Aquarius Engines AM probability density function shows the probability of Aquarius Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aquarius Engines price to stay between 86.18 and its current price of 105.1 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aquarius Engines has a beta of 0.65. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aquarius Engines average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aquarius Engines AM will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aquarius Engines AM has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Aquarius Engines Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aquarius Engines
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aquarius Engines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aquarius Engines Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aquarius Engines is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aquarius Engines' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aquarius Engines AM, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aquarius Engines within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.98 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 25.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Aquarius Engines Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aquarius Engines for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aquarius Engines can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aquarius Engines generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aquarius Engines has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (18.85 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Aquarius Engines generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Aquarius Engines Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aquarius Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aquarius Engines' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aquarius Engines' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.8 M |
Aquarius Engines Technical Analysis
Aquarius Engines' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aquarius Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aquarius Engines AM. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aquarius Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aquarius Engines Predictive Forecast Models
Aquarius Engines' time-series forecasting models is one of many Aquarius Engines' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aquarius Engines' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aquarius Engines
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aquarius Engines for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aquarius Engines help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aquarius Engines generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aquarius Engines has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (18.85 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Aquarius Engines generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Aquarius Stock
Aquarius Engines financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aquarius Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aquarius with respect to the benefits of owning Aquarius Engines security.