Aquabounty Technologies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.56
| AQB Stock | USD 0.58 0.13 18.87% |
AquaBounty |
AquaBounty Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 17.56
The tendency of AquaBounty Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 17.56 or more in 90 days |
| 0.58 | 90 days | 17.56 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AquaBounty Technologies to move over $ 17.56 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This AquaBounty Technologies probability density function shows the probability of AquaBounty Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AquaBounty Technologies price to stay between its current price of $ 0.58 and $ 17.56 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon AquaBounty Technologies has a beta of 0.45. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AquaBounty Technologies average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AquaBounty Technologies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AquaBounty Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. AquaBounty Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AquaBounty Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AquaBounty Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AquaBounty Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AquaBounty Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AquaBounty Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AquaBounty Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AquaBounty Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
AquaBounty Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AquaBounty Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AquaBounty Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AquaBounty Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AquaBounty Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| AquaBounty Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AquaBounty Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.47 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (27.56 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (10.49 M). | |
| AquaBounty Technologies has about 148.24 M in cash with (24.24 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.09, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| AquaBounty Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 70116 shares by David Melbourne of AquaBounty Technologies at 0.36 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
AquaBounty Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AquaBounty Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AquaBounty Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AquaBounty Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.2 M |
AquaBounty Technologies Technical Analysis
AquaBounty Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AquaBounty Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AquaBounty Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing AquaBounty Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AquaBounty Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
AquaBounty Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many AquaBounty Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AquaBounty Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AquaBounty Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about AquaBounty Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AquaBounty Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AquaBounty Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AquaBounty Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| AquaBounty Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AquaBounty Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.47 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (27.56 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (10.49 M). | |
| AquaBounty Technologies has about 148.24 M in cash with (24.24 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.09, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| AquaBounty Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 70116 shares by David Melbourne of AquaBounty Technologies at 0.36 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out AquaBounty Technologies Backtesting, AquaBounty Technologies Valuation, AquaBounty Technologies Correlation, AquaBounty Technologies Hype Analysis, AquaBounty Technologies Volatility, AquaBounty Technologies History as well as AquaBounty Technologies Performance. For information on how to trade AquaBounty Stock refer to our How to Trade AquaBounty Stock guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AquaBounty Technologies. If investors know AquaBounty will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AquaBounty Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (19.06) | Revenue Per Share 0.326 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.94) | Return On Assets (0.09) | Return On Equity (0.54) |
The market value of AquaBounty Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AquaBounty that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AquaBounty Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AquaBounty Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AquaBounty Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AquaBounty Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AquaBounty Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AquaBounty Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AquaBounty Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.