Apex Mining (Philippines) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.59

APX Stock   3.59  0.01  0.28%   
Apex Mining's future price is the expected price of Apex Mining instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Apex Mining Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Apex Mining Backtesting, Apex Mining Valuation, Apex Mining Correlation, Apex Mining Hype Analysis, Apex Mining Volatility, Apex Mining History as well as Apex Mining Performance.
  
Please specify Apex Mining's target price for which you would like Apex Mining odds to be computed.

Apex Mining Target Price Odds to finish over 3.59

The tendency of Apex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.59 90 days 3.59 
over 95.37
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Apex Mining to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.37 (This Apex Mining Co probability density function shows the probability of Apex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Apex Mining Co has a beta of -0.66. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Apex Mining are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Apex Mining Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Apex Mining Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Apex Mining Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Apex Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apex Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.783.595.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.333.144.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.023.835.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.533.613.68
Details

Apex Mining Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Apex Mining is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Apex Mining's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Apex Mining Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Apex Mining within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.66
σ
Overall volatility
0.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Apex Mining Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Apex Mining for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Apex Mining can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Apex Mining generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Apex Mining Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Apex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Apex Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Apex Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments1.4 B

Apex Mining Technical Analysis

Apex Mining's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Apex Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Apex Mining Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Apex Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Apex Mining Predictive Forecast Models

Apex Mining's time-series forecasting models is one of many Apex Mining's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Apex Mining's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Apex Mining

Checking the ongoing alerts about Apex Mining for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Apex Mining help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Apex Mining generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Apex Stock

Apex Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Apex Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Apex with respect to the benefits of owning Apex Mining security.