Aims Property (Australia) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 1.07

APW Etf   1.68  0.01  0.59%   
Aims Property's future price is the expected price of Aims Property instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Aims Property Securities performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Aims Property Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Aims Property Correlation, Aims Property Hype Analysis, Aims Property Volatility, Aims Property History as well as Aims Property Performance.
  
Please specify Aims Property's target price for which you would like Aims Property odds to be computed.

Aims Property Target Price Odds to finish below 1.07

The tendency of Aims Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  1.07  or more in 90 days
 1.68 90 days 1.07 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aims Property to drop to  1.07  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Aims Property Securities probability density function shows the probability of Aims Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aims Property Securities price to stay between  1.07  and its current price of 1.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aims Property has a beta of 0.13. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aims Property average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aims Property Securities will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aims Property Securities has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Aims Property Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aims Property

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aims Property Securities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.031.682.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.031.682.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.051.702.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.671.691.71
Details

Aims Property Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aims Property is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aims Property's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aims Property Securities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aims Property within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Aims Property Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aims Property for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aims Property Securities can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aims Property generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aims Property may become a speculative penny stock

Aims Property Technical Analysis

Aims Property's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aims Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aims Property Securities. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aims Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Aims Property Predictive Forecast Models

Aims Property's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aims Property's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aims Property's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Aims Property Securities

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aims Property for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aims Property Securities help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aims Property generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aims Property may become a speculative penny stock

Other Information on Investing in Aims Etf

Aims Property financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aims Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aims with respect to the benefits of owning Aims Property security.