Apexcm Smallmid Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 21.54

APSGX Fund  USD 17.33  0.15  0.86%   
Apexcm Smallmid's future price is the expected price of Apexcm Smallmid instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Apexcm Smallmid Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Apexcm Smallmid Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Apexcm Smallmid Correlation, Apexcm Smallmid Hype Analysis, Apexcm Smallmid Volatility, Apexcm Smallmid History as well as Apexcm Smallmid Performance.
  
Please specify Apexcm Smallmid's target price for which you would like Apexcm Smallmid odds to be computed.

Apexcm Smallmid Target Price Odds to finish over 21.54

The tendency of Apexcm Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 21.54  or more in 90 days
 17.33 90 days 21.54 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Apexcm Smallmid to move over $ 21.54  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Apexcm Smallmid Cap probability density function shows the probability of Apexcm Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Apexcm Smallmid Cap price to stay between its current price of $ 17.33  and $ 21.54  at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.85 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Apexcm Smallmid has a beta of 0.12. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Apexcm Smallmid average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Apexcm Smallmid Cap will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Apexcm Smallmid Cap has an alpha of 0.0647, implying that it can generate a 0.0647 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Apexcm Smallmid Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Apexcm Smallmid

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apexcm Smallmid Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.1817.3318.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.2517.4018.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Apexcm Smallmid. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Apexcm Smallmid's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Apexcm Smallmid's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Apexcm Smallmid Cap.

Apexcm Smallmid Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Apexcm Smallmid is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Apexcm Smallmid's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Apexcm Smallmid Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Apexcm Smallmid within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.68
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Apexcm Smallmid Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Apexcm Smallmid for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Apexcm Smallmid Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 96.84% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Apexcm Smallmid Technical Analysis

Apexcm Smallmid's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Apexcm Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Apexcm Smallmid Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Apexcm Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Apexcm Smallmid Predictive Forecast Models

Apexcm Smallmid's time-series forecasting models is one of many Apexcm Smallmid's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Apexcm Smallmid's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Apexcm Smallmid Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Apexcm Smallmid for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Apexcm Smallmid Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 96.84% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Apexcm Mutual Fund

Apexcm Smallmid financial ratios help investors to determine whether Apexcm Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Apexcm with respect to the benefits of owning Apexcm Smallmid security.
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements