Nam Viet (Vietnam) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18200.0

ANV Stock   16,750  200.00  1.18%   
Nam Viet's future price is the expected price of Nam Viet instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nam Viet Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nam Viet Backtesting, Nam Viet Valuation, Nam Viet Correlation, Nam Viet Hype Analysis, Nam Viet Volatility, Nam Viet History as well as Nam Viet Performance.
  
Please specify Nam Viet's target price for which you would like Nam Viet odds to be computed.

Nam Viet Target Price Odds to finish below 18200.0

The tendency of Nam Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  18,200  after 90 days
 16,750 90 days 18,200 
about 34.22
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nam Viet to stay under  18,200  after 90 days from now is about 34.22 (This Nam Viet Corp probability density function shows the probability of Nam Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nam Viet Corp price to stay between its current price of  16,750  and  18,200  at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.92 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nam Viet has a beta of 0.0736. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Nam Viet average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nam Viet Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nam Viet Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Nam Viet Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nam Viet

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nam Viet Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16,74816,75016,752
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14,88714,88918,425
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15,86315,86615,868
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16,04517,63619,226
Details

Nam Viet Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nam Viet is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nam Viet's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nam Viet Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nam Viet within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
1,209
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Nam Viet Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nam Viet for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nam Viet Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nam Viet Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Nam Viet Technical Analysis

Nam Viet's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nam Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nam Viet Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nam Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nam Viet Predictive Forecast Models

Nam Viet's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nam Viet's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nam Viet's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nam Viet Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nam Viet for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nam Viet Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nam Viet Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Nam Stock

Nam Viet financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nam Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nam with respect to the benefits of owning Nam Viet security.