Anglo American Platinum Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 5.64

ANGPY Stock  USD 5.70  0.03  0.53%   
Anglo American's future price is the expected price of Anglo American instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Anglo American Platinum performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Anglo American Backtesting, Anglo American Valuation, Anglo American Correlation, Anglo American Hype Analysis, Anglo American Volatility, Anglo American History as well as Anglo American Performance.
  
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Anglo American Target Price Odds to finish over 5.64

The tendency of Anglo Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 5.64  in 90 days
 5.70 90 days 5.64 
about 82.2
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Anglo American to stay above $ 5.64  in 90 days from now is about 82.2 (This Anglo American Platinum probability density function shows the probability of Anglo Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Anglo American Platinum price to stay between $ 5.64  and its current price of $5.7 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Anglo American has a beta of 0.26. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Anglo American average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Anglo American Platinum will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Anglo American Platinum has an alpha of 0.0763, implying that it can generate a 0.0763 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Anglo American Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Anglo American

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anglo American Platinum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.895.709.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.255.068.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.416.2210.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.126.227.32
Details

Anglo American Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Anglo American is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Anglo American's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Anglo American Platinum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Anglo American within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.26
σ
Overall volatility
0.52
Ir
Information ratio -0.0023

Anglo American Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Anglo American for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Anglo American Platinum can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Anglo American had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Anglo American Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Anglo Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Anglo American's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Anglo American's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.6 B
Cash And Short Term Investments49.8 B

Anglo American Technical Analysis

Anglo American's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Anglo Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Anglo American Platinum. In general, you should focus on analyzing Anglo Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Anglo American Predictive Forecast Models

Anglo American's time-series forecasting models is one of many Anglo American's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Anglo American's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Anglo American Platinum

Checking the ongoing alerts about Anglo American for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Anglo American Platinum help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Anglo American had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for Anglo Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Anglo American's price analysis, check to measure Anglo American's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Anglo American is operating at the current time. Most of Anglo American's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Anglo American's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Anglo American's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Anglo American to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.