American Shared Hospital Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.17

AMS Stock  USD 3.32  0.01  0.30%   
American Shared's future price is the expected price of American Shared instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of American Shared Hospital performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out American Shared Backtesting, American Shared Valuation, American Shared Correlation, American Shared Hype Analysis, American Shared Volatility, American Shared History as well as American Shared Performance.
  
At this time, American Shared's Price Book Value Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Price To Book Ratio is likely to gain to 0.68 in 2024, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 14.18 in 2024. Please specify American Shared's target price for which you would like American Shared odds to be computed.

American Shared Target Price Odds to finish over 3.17

The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 3.17  in 90 days
 3.32 90 days 3.17 
about 37.76
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Shared to stay above $ 3.17  in 90 days from now is about 37.76 (This American Shared Hospital probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of American Shared Hospital price to stay between $ 3.17  and its current price of $3.32 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.69 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon American Shared has a beta of 0.15. This suggests as returns on the market go up, American Shared average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding American Shared Hospital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally American Shared Hospital has an alpha of 0.1497, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   American Shared Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for American Shared

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Shared Hospital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.903.325.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.663.085.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.923.335.75
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.130.130.13
Details

American Shared Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Shared is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Shared's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Shared Hospital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Shared within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.1
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

American Shared Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Shared for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Shared Hospital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 39.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Premier Publishers A360, Sundial Media Group, USNews and MediaCorp Select ArcSpan AMS Platform to Enhance Audience Monetization

American Shared Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Shared's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Shared's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments13.7 M

American Shared Technical Analysis

American Shared's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Shared Hospital. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

American Shared Predictive Forecast Models

American Shared's time-series forecasting models is one of many American Shared's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Shared's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about American Shared Hospital

Checking the ongoing alerts about American Shared for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Shared Hospital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 39.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Premier Publishers A360, Sundial Media Group, USNews and MediaCorp Select ArcSpan AMS Platform to Enhance Audience Monetization

Additional Tools for American Stock Analysis

When running American Shared's price analysis, check to measure American Shared's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Shared is operating at the current time. Most of American Shared's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Shared's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Shared's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Shared to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.