Amaroq Minerals (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 76.5
| AMRQ Stock | 102.15 2.65 2.66% |
Amaroq |
Amaroq Minerals Target Price Odds to finish below 76.5
The tendency of Amaroq Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 76.50 or more in 90 days |
| 102.15 | 90 days | 76.50 | about 22.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amaroq Minerals to drop to 76.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 22.39 (This Amaroq Minerals probability density function shows the probability of Amaroq Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amaroq Minerals price to stay between 76.50 and its current price of 102.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amaroq Minerals has a beta of -0.26. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Amaroq Minerals are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Amaroq Minerals is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Amaroq Minerals has an alpha of 0.6432, implying that it can generate a 0.64 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Amaroq Minerals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Amaroq Minerals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amaroq Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Amaroq Minerals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amaroq Minerals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amaroq Minerals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amaroq Minerals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amaroq Minerals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.26 |
Amaroq Minerals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amaroq Minerals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amaroq Minerals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Net Loss for the year was (833.51 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Amaroq Minerals generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Amaroq Minerals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amaroq Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amaroq Minerals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amaroq Minerals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 272.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 21 M |
Amaroq Minerals Technical Analysis
Amaroq Minerals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amaroq Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amaroq Minerals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amaroq Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Amaroq Minerals Predictive Forecast Models
Amaroq Minerals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Amaroq Minerals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amaroq Minerals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Amaroq Minerals
Checking the ongoing alerts about Amaroq Minerals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amaroq Minerals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Net Loss for the year was (833.51 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Amaroq Minerals generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Amaroq Stock Analysis
When running Amaroq Minerals' price analysis, check to measure Amaroq Minerals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amaroq Minerals is operating at the current time. Most of Amaroq Minerals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amaroq Minerals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amaroq Minerals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amaroq Minerals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.