Amir Marketing (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3102.99

AMRK Stock  ILS 2,951  89.00  2.93%   
Amir Marketing's future price is the expected price of Amir Marketing instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Amir Marketing and performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Amir Marketing Backtesting, Amir Marketing Valuation, Amir Marketing Correlation, Amir Marketing Hype Analysis, Amir Marketing Volatility, Amir Marketing History as well as Amir Marketing Performance.
  
Please specify Amir Marketing's target price for which you would like Amir Marketing odds to be computed.

Amir Marketing Target Price Odds to finish below 3102.99

The tendency of Amir Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under S 3,103  after 90 days
 2,951 90 days 3,103 
over 95.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amir Marketing to stay under S 3,103  after 90 days from now is over 95.53 (This Amir Marketing and probability density function shows the probability of Amir Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amir Marketing price to stay between its current price of S 2,951  and S 3,103  at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.43 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amir Marketing has a beta of 0.34. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Amir Marketing average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amir Marketing and will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amir Marketing and has an alpha of 0.3356, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Amir Marketing Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amir Marketing

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amir Marketing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,9492,9512,953
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,6563,3193,321
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,9132,9152,917
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,9182,9923,065
Details

Amir Marketing Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amir Marketing is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amir Marketing's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amir Marketing and, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amir Marketing within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.34
σ
Overall volatility
230.26
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Amir Marketing Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amir Marketing for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amir Marketing can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Amir Marketing Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amir Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amir Marketing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amir Marketing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding63.6 M

Amir Marketing Technical Analysis

Amir Marketing's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amir Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amir Marketing and. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amir Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Amir Marketing Predictive Forecast Models

Amir Marketing's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amir Marketing's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amir Marketing's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Amir Marketing

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amir Marketing for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amir Marketing help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Amir Stock

Amir Marketing financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amir Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amir with respect to the benefits of owning Amir Marketing security.