Amplitude Surgical (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.22

AMPLI Stock  EUR 3.12  0.02  0.64%   
Amplitude Surgical's future price is the expected price of Amplitude Surgical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Amplitude Surgical SAS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Amplitude Surgical Backtesting, Amplitude Surgical Valuation, Amplitude Surgical Correlation, Amplitude Surgical Hype Analysis, Amplitude Surgical Volatility, Amplitude Surgical History as well as Amplitude Surgical Performance.
  
Please specify Amplitude Surgical's target price for which you would like Amplitude Surgical odds to be computed.

Amplitude Surgical Target Price Odds to finish over 3.22

The tendency of Amplitude Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 3.22  or more in 90 days
 3.12 90 days 3.22 
about 37.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amplitude Surgical to move over € 3.22  or more in 90 days from now is about 37.06 (This Amplitude Surgical SAS probability density function shows the probability of Amplitude Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amplitude Surgical SAS price to stay between its current price of € 3.12  and € 3.22  at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amplitude Surgical SAS has a beta of -0.14. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Amplitude Surgical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Amplitude Surgical SAS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Amplitude Surgical SAS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Amplitude Surgical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amplitude Surgical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amplitude Surgical SAS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.793.125.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.352.685.01
Details

Amplitude Surgical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amplitude Surgical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amplitude Surgical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amplitude Surgical SAS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amplitude Surgical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Amplitude Surgical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amplitude Surgical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amplitude Surgical SAS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amplitude Surgical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Amplitude Surgical has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Amplitude Surgical has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 87.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 43.97 M.
About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Amplitude Surgical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amplitude Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amplitude Surgical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amplitude Surgical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding47.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments21 M

Amplitude Surgical Technical Analysis

Amplitude Surgical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amplitude Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amplitude Surgical SAS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amplitude Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Amplitude Surgical Predictive Forecast Models

Amplitude Surgical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amplitude Surgical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amplitude Surgical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Amplitude Surgical SAS

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amplitude Surgical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amplitude Surgical SAS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amplitude Surgical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Amplitude Surgical has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Amplitude Surgical has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 87.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 43.97 M.
About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Additional Tools for Amplitude Stock Analysis

When running Amplitude Surgical's price analysis, check to measure Amplitude Surgical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amplitude Surgical is operating at the current time. Most of Amplitude Surgical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amplitude Surgical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amplitude Surgical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amplitude Surgical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.