Alternet Systems Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 5.54E-4
| ALYI Stock | USD 0.0008 0.0001 14.29% |
Alternet |
Alternet Systems Target Price Odds to finish below 5.54E-4
The tendency of Alternet Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.0006 or more in 90 days |
| 0.0008 | 90 days | 0.0006 | about 16.93 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alternet Systems to drop to $ 0.0006 or more in 90 days from now is about 16.93 (This Alternet Systems probability density function shows the probability of Alternet Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alternet Systems price to stay between $ 0.0006 and its current price of $8.0E-4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.97 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Alternet Systems has a beta of -0.17. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Alternet Systems are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Alternet Systems is likely to outperform the market. In addition to that Alternet Systems has an alpha of 3.4966, implying that it can generate a 3.5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Alternet Systems Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alternet Systems
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alternet Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alternet Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Alternet Systems Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alternet Systems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alternet Systems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alternet Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alternet Systems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 3.50 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.0002 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Alternet Systems Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alternet Systems for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alternet Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alternet Systems is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Alternet Systems has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Alternet Systems appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Alternet Systems has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Alternet Systems currently holds 800 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.2, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Alternet Systems has a current ratio of 0.04, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Alternet Systems until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Alternet Systems' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Alternet Systems sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Alternet to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Alternet Systems' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (767.43 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (76.44 K). | |
| Alternet Systems currently holds about 5.1 K in cash with (623) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Alternet Systems Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alternet Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alternet Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alternet Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Short Long Term Debt | 1 M | |
| Shares Float | 107.1 M |
Alternet Systems Technical Analysis
Alternet Systems' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alternet Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alternet Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alternet Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alternet Systems Predictive Forecast Models
Alternet Systems' time-series forecasting models is one of many Alternet Systems' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alternet Systems' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alternet Systems
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alternet Systems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alternet Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Alternet Systems is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Alternet Systems has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Alternet Systems appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Alternet Systems has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Alternet Systems currently holds 800 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.2, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Alternet Systems has a current ratio of 0.04, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Alternet Systems until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Alternet Systems' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Alternet Systems sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Alternet to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Alternet Systems' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (767.43 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (76.44 K). | |
| Alternet Systems currently holds about 5.1 K in cash with (623) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Other Information on Investing in Alternet Pink Sheet
Alternet Systems financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alternet Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alternet with respect to the benefits of owning Alternet Systems security.