Lucibel (France) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.64
| ALUCI Stock | EUR 0.12 0.01 7.69% |
Lucibel |
Lucibel Target Price Odds to finish over 19.64
The tendency of Lucibel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 19.64 or more in 90 days |
| 0.12 | 90 days | 19.64 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lucibel to move over € 19.64 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Lucibel probability density function shows the probability of Lucibel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lucibel price to stay between its current price of € 0.12 and € 19.64 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lucibel has a beta of -2.52. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Lucibel are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Lucibel is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Lucibel has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lucibel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lucibel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lucibel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lucibel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lucibel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lucibel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lucibel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lucibel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Lucibel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lucibel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lucibel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lucibel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lucibel has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Lucibel has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 9.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.63 M. | |
| Lucibel has accumulated about 1.6 M in cash with (2.68 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.11. |
Lucibel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lucibel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lucibel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lucibel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 983 K |
Lucibel Technical Analysis
Lucibel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lucibel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lucibel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lucibel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lucibel Predictive Forecast Models
Lucibel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lucibel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lucibel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lucibel
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lucibel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lucibel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lucibel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lucibel has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Lucibel has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 9.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.63 M. | |
| Lucibel has accumulated about 1.6 M in cash with (2.68 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.11. |
Additional Tools for Lucibel Stock Analysis
When running Lucibel's price analysis, check to measure Lucibel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lucibel is operating at the current time. Most of Lucibel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lucibel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lucibel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lucibel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.