Alta Equipment Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.12
| ALTG Stock | USD 6.71 0.17 2.60% |
Alta |
Alta Equipment Target Price Odds to finish below 2.12
The tendency of Alta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 2.12 or more in 90 days |
| 6.71 | 90 days | 2.12 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alta Equipment to drop to $ 2.12 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Alta Equipment Group probability density function shows the probability of Alta Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alta Equipment Group price to stay between $ 2.12 and its current price of $6.71 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.43 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Alta Equipment has a beta of 0.2. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Alta Equipment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alta Equipment Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alta Equipment Group has an alpha of 0.0884, implying that it can generate a 0.0884 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Alta Equipment Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Alta Equipment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alta Equipment Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alta Equipment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Alta Equipment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alta Equipment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alta Equipment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alta Equipment Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alta Equipment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Alta Equipment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alta Equipment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alta Equipment Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alta Equipment Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 29th of November 2024 Alta Equipment paid $ 0.057 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Q3 Earnings Roundup Hudson Technologies And The Rest Of The Specialty Equipment Distributors Segment |
Alta Equipment Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alta Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alta Equipment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alta Equipment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 31 M |
Alta Equipment Technical Analysis
Alta Equipment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alta Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alta Equipment Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alta Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alta Equipment Predictive Forecast Models
Alta Equipment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alta Equipment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alta Equipment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.