Alpcot Holding (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.09
| ALPCOT-B | 0.60 0.03 4.76% |
Alpcot |
Alpcot Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 5.09
The tendency of Alpcot Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 5.09 or more in 90 days |
| 0.60 | 90 days | 5.09 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alpcot Holding to move over 5.09 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Alpcot Holding AB probability density function shows the probability of Alpcot Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alpcot Holding AB price to stay between its current price of 0.60 and 5.09 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.05 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alpcot Holding AB has a beta of -0.48. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Alpcot Holding are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Alpcot Holding AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Alpcot Holding AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Alpcot Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alpcot Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alpcot Holding AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alpcot Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alpcot Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alpcot Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alpcot Holding AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alpcot Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Alpcot Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alpcot Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alpcot Holding AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alpcot Holding AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Alpcot Holding AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Alpcot Holding AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Alpcot Holding AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years |
Alpcot Holding Technical Analysis
Alpcot Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alpcot Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alpcot Holding AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alpcot Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alpcot Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Alpcot Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alpcot Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alpcot Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alpcot Holding AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alpcot Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alpcot Holding AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Alpcot Holding AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Alpcot Holding AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Alpcot Holding AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Alpcot Holding AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years |
Other Information on Investing in Alpcot Stock
Alpcot Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alpcot Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alpcot with respect to the benefits of owning Alpcot Holding security.