Plant Advanced (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.8

ALPAT Stock  EUR 11.90  0.10  0.85%   
Plant Advanced's future price is the expected price of Plant Advanced instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Plant Advanced Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Plant Advanced Backtesting, Plant Advanced Valuation, Plant Advanced Correlation, Plant Advanced Hype Analysis, Plant Advanced Volatility, Plant Advanced History as well as Plant Advanced Performance.
  
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Plant Advanced Target Price Odds to finish below 14.8

The tendency of Plant Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 14.80  after 90 days
 11.90 90 days 14.80 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Plant Advanced to stay under € 14.80  after 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Plant Advanced Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Plant Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Plant Advanced Techn price to stay between its current price of € 11.90  and € 14.80  at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Plant Advanced Technologies has a beta of -0.42. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Plant Advanced are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Plant Advanced Technologies is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Plant Advanced Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Plant Advanced Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Plant Advanced

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Plant Advanced Techn. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Plant Advanced's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.5011.9014.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.0410.4412.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.8412.2314.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.5211.8512.18
Details

Plant Advanced Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Plant Advanced is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Plant Advanced's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Plant Advanced Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Plant Advanced within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.42
σ
Overall volatility
1.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Plant Advanced Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Plant Advanced for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Plant Advanced Techn can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Plant Advanced Techn generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Plant Advanced Techn has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 1.54 M. Net Loss for the year was (868.29 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.52 M.
Plant Advanced Technologies has accumulated about 657.31 K in cash with (388) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.68.
Roughly 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Plant Advanced Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Plant Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Plant Advanced's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Plant Advanced's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding982.4 K
Cash And Short Term Investments388.3 K

Plant Advanced Technical Analysis

Plant Advanced's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Plant Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Plant Advanced Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Plant Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Plant Advanced Predictive Forecast Models

Plant Advanced's time-series forecasting models is one of many Plant Advanced's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Plant Advanced's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Plant Advanced Techn

Checking the ongoing alerts about Plant Advanced for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Plant Advanced Techn help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Plant Advanced Techn generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Plant Advanced Techn has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 1.54 M. Net Loss for the year was (868.29 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.52 M.
Plant Advanced Technologies has accumulated about 657.31 K in cash with (388) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.68.
Roughly 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Plant Stock Analysis

When running Plant Advanced's price analysis, check to measure Plant Advanced's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Plant Advanced is operating at the current time. Most of Plant Advanced's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Plant Advanced's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Plant Advanced's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Plant Advanced to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.