Aeluma Inc Stock Chance of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 10.63
| ALMU Stock | 8.50 0.40 4.94% |
Aeluma |
Aeluma Target Price Odds to finish over 10.63
The tendency of Aeluma OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 10.63 or more in 90 days |
| 8.50 | 90 days | 10.63 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aeluma to move over 10.63 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Aeluma Inc probability density function shows the probability of Aeluma OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aeluma Inc price to stay between its current price of 8.50 and 10.63 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Aeluma has a beta of 0.22. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aeluma average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aeluma Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. In addition to that Aeluma Inc has an alpha of 2.0859, implying that it can generate a 2.09 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aeluma Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aeluma
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aeluma Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aeluma Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aeluma is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aeluma's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aeluma Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aeluma within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
Aeluma Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aeluma for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aeluma Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aeluma Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Aeluma Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Aeluma Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (3.45 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Aeluma generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Aeluma Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aeluma OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aeluma's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aeluma's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.7 M |
Aeluma Technical Analysis
Aeluma's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aeluma OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aeluma Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aeluma OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aeluma Predictive Forecast Models
Aeluma's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aeluma's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aeluma's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aeluma Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aeluma for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aeluma Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aeluma Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Aeluma Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Aeluma Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (3.45 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Aeluma generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Aeluma OTC Stock Analysis
When running Aeluma's price analysis, check to measure Aeluma's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aeluma is operating at the current time. Most of Aeluma's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aeluma's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aeluma's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aeluma to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.