Groupe LDLC (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.16
| ALLDL Stock | EUR 9.16 0.38 3.98% |
Groupe |
Groupe LDLC Target Price Odds to finish below 16.16
The tendency of Groupe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 16.16 after 90 days |
| 9.16 | 90 days | 16.16 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Groupe LDLC to stay under € 16.16 after 90 days from now is under 95 (This Groupe LDLC SA probability density function shows the probability of Groupe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Groupe LDLC SA price to stay between its current price of € 9.16 and € 16.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Groupe LDLC has a beta of 0.64. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Groupe LDLC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Groupe LDLC SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Groupe LDLC SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Groupe LDLC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Groupe LDLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Groupe LDLC SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Groupe LDLC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Groupe LDLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Groupe LDLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Groupe LDLC SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Groupe LDLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.65 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.27 |
Groupe LDLC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Groupe LDLC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Groupe LDLC SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Groupe LDLC SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Groupe LDLC Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Groupe Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Groupe LDLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Groupe LDLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 44.1 M |
Groupe LDLC Technical Analysis
Groupe LDLC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Groupe Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Groupe LDLC SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Groupe Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Groupe LDLC Predictive Forecast Models
Groupe LDLC's time-series forecasting models is one of many Groupe LDLC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Groupe LDLC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Groupe LDLC SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Groupe LDLC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Groupe LDLC SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Groupe LDLC SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Groupe Stock Analysis
When running Groupe LDLC's price analysis, check to measure Groupe LDLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Groupe LDLC is operating at the current time. Most of Groupe LDLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Groupe LDLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Groupe LDLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Groupe LDLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.