Alkim Alkali (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.01

ALKIM Stock  TRY 18.81  0.29  1.57%   
Alkim Alkali's future price is the expected price of Alkim Alkali instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Alkim Alkali Kimya performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Alkim Alkali Backtesting, Alkim Alkali Valuation, Alkim Alkali Correlation, Alkim Alkali Hype Analysis, Alkim Alkali Volatility, Alkim Alkali History as well as Alkim Alkali Performance.
  
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Alkim Alkali Target Price Odds to finish below 11.01

The tendency of Alkim Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  11.01  or more in 90 days
 18.81 90 days 11.01 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alkim Alkali to drop to  11.01  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Alkim Alkali Kimya probability density function shows the probability of Alkim Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alkim Alkali Kimya price to stay between  11.01  and its current price of 18.81 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alkim Alkali has a beta of 0.0045. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Alkim Alkali average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alkim Alkali Kimya will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alkim Alkali Kimya has an alpha of 0.2529, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Alkim Alkali Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Alkim Alkali

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alkim Alkali Kimya. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.9418.8120.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.8119.6821.55
Details

Alkim Alkali Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alkim Alkali is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alkim Alkali's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alkim Alkali Kimya, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alkim Alkali within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones0
σ
Overall volatility
0.75
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Alkim Alkali Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alkim Alkali for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alkim Alkali Kimya can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Alkim Alkali Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alkim Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alkim Alkali's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alkim Alkali's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding150 M

Alkim Alkali Technical Analysis

Alkim Alkali's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alkim Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alkim Alkali Kimya. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alkim Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Alkim Alkali Predictive Forecast Models

Alkim Alkali's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alkim Alkali's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alkim Alkali's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Alkim Alkali Kimya

Checking the ongoing alerts about Alkim Alkali for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alkim Alkali Kimya help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Alkim Stock

Alkim Alkali financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alkim Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alkim with respect to the benefits of owning Alkim Alkali security.