Alimak Hek (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 55.92

ALIG Stock  SEK 116.00  1.80  1.53%   
Alimak Hek's future price is the expected price of Alimak Hek instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Alimak Hek Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Alimak Hek Backtesting, Alimak Hek Valuation, Alimak Hek Correlation, Alimak Hek Hype Analysis, Alimak Hek Volatility, Alimak Hek History as well as Alimak Hek Performance.
  
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Alimak Hek Target Price Odds to finish below 55.92

The tendency of Alimak Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 55.92  or more in 90 days
 116.00 90 days 55.92 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alimak Hek to drop to kr 55.92  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Alimak Hek Group probability density function shows the probability of Alimak Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alimak Hek Group price to stay between kr 55.92  and its current price of kr116.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alimak Hek has a beta of 0.22. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Alimak Hek average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alimak Hek Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alimak Hek Group has an alpha of 0.1204, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Alimak Hek Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Alimak Hek

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alimak Hek Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
114.51116.00117.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
115.01116.50117.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
116.84118.33119.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
113.97119.44124.91
Details

Alimak Hek Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alimak Hek is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alimak Hek's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alimak Hek Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alimak Hek within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
5.24
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Alimak Hek Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alimak Hek for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alimak Hek Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Alimak Hek Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alimak Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alimak Hek's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alimak Hek's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding54.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments398.3 M

Alimak Hek Technical Analysis

Alimak Hek's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alimak Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alimak Hek Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alimak Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Alimak Hek Predictive Forecast Models

Alimak Hek's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alimak Hek's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alimak Hek's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Alimak Hek Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Alimak Hek for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alimak Hek Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Additional Tools for Alimak Stock Analysis

When running Alimak Hek's price analysis, check to measure Alimak Hek's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alimak Hek is operating at the current time. Most of Alimak Hek's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alimak Hek's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alimak Hek's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alimak Hek to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.