Groupe Tera (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.4
| ALGTR Stock | 2.04 0.36 15.00% |
Groupe |
Groupe Tera Target Price Odds to finish below 2.4
The tendency of Groupe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 2.40 after 90 days |
| 2.04 | 90 days | 2.40 | about 21.89 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Groupe Tera to stay under 2.40 after 90 days from now is about 21.89 (This Groupe Tera SA probability density function shows the probability of Groupe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Groupe Tera SA price to stay between its current price of 2.04 and 2.40 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.64 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Groupe Tera SA has a beta of -0.0745. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Groupe Tera are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Groupe Tera SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Groupe Tera SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Groupe Tera Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Groupe Tera
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Groupe Tera SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Groupe Tera Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Groupe Tera is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Groupe Tera's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Groupe Tera SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Groupe Tera within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Groupe Tera Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Groupe Tera for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Groupe Tera SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Groupe Tera SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Groupe Tera SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Groupe Tera SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Groupe Tera generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Groupe Tera Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Groupe Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Groupe Tera's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Groupe Tera's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 79.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.2 M |
Groupe Tera Technical Analysis
Groupe Tera's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Groupe Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Groupe Tera SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Groupe Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Groupe Tera Predictive Forecast Models
Groupe Tera's time-series forecasting models is one of many Groupe Tera's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Groupe Tera's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Groupe Tera SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Groupe Tera for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Groupe Tera SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Groupe Tera SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Groupe Tera SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Groupe Tera SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Groupe Tera generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Groupe Stock Analysis
When running Groupe Tera's price analysis, check to measure Groupe Tera's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Groupe Tera is operating at the current time. Most of Groupe Tera's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Groupe Tera's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Groupe Tera's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Groupe Tera to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.