Alfa Financial (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 218.19
| ALFA Stock | 225.50 8.00 3.43% |
Alfa |
Alfa Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 218.19
The tendency of Alfa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 218.19 or more in 90 days |
| 225.50 | 90 days | 218.19 | about 69.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alfa Financial to drop to 218.19 or more in 90 days from now is about 69.97 (This Alfa Financial Software probability density function shows the probability of Alfa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alfa Financial Software price to stay between 218.19 and its current price of 225.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alfa Financial Software has a beta of -0.49. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Alfa Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Alfa Financial Software is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Alfa Financial Software has an alpha of 0.1662, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Alfa Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alfa Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alfa Financial Software. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alfa Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alfa Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alfa Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alfa Financial Software, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alfa Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0019 |
Alfa Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alfa Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alfa Financial Software can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 8th of November 2024 Alfa Financial paid 0.042 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Alfa Financial Software Holdings PLCs Stocks On An Uptrend Are Strong Financials Guiding The Market - Simply Wall St |
Alfa Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alfa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alfa Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alfa Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 298.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 21.8 M |
Alfa Financial Technical Analysis
Alfa Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alfa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alfa Financial Software. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alfa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alfa Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Alfa Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alfa Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alfa Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alfa Financial Software
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alfa Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alfa Financial Software help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 8th of November 2024 Alfa Financial paid 0.042 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Alfa Financial Software Holdings PLCs Stocks On An Uptrend Are Strong Financials Guiding The Market - Simply Wall St |
Additional Tools for Alfa Stock Analysis
When running Alfa Financial's price analysis, check to measure Alfa Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alfa Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Alfa Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alfa Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alfa Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alfa Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.