DBT SA (France) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.96
| ALDBT Stock | EUR 0.43 0.01 2.38% |
DBT |
DBT SA Target Price Odds to finish over 16.96
The tendency of DBT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 16.96 or more in 90 days |
| 0.43 | 90 days | 16.96 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DBT SA to move over € 16.96 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This DBT SA probability density function shows the probability of DBT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DBT SA price to stay between its current price of € 0.43 and € 16.96 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.4 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, DBT SA will likely underperform. Additionally DBT SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. DBT SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for DBT SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DBT SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DBT SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
DBT SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DBT SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DBT SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DBT SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DBT SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.87 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
DBT SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DBT SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DBT SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| DBT SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| DBT SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| DBT SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| DBT SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.33 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.27 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (862 K). | |
| DBT SA has accumulated about 208 K in cash with (10.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. |
DBT SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DBT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DBT SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DBT SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 358 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 218 K |
DBT SA Technical Analysis
DBT SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DBT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DBT SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing DBT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
DBT SA Predictive Forecast Models
DBT SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many DBT SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DBT SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about DBT SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about DBT SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DBT SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| DBT SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| DBT SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| DBT SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| DBT SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.33 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.27 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (862 K). | |
| DBT SA has accumulated about 208 K in cash with (10.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. |
Additional Tools for DBT Stock Analysis
When running DBT SA's price analysis, check to measure DBT SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DBT SA is operating at the current time. Most of DBT SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DBT SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DBT SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DBT SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.