Algoma Central Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.86
| ALC Stock | CAD 14.37 0.04 0.28% |
Algoma |
Algoma Central Target Price Odds to finish over 13.86
The tendency of Algoma Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above C$ 13.86 in 90 days |
| 14.37 | 90 days | 13.86 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Algoma Central to stay above C$ 13.86 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Algoma Central probability density function shows the probability of Algoma Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Algoma Central price to stay between C$ 13.86 and its current price of C$14.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Algoma Central has a beta of 0.26. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Algoma Central average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Algoma Central will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Algoma Central has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Algoma Central Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Algoma Central
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Algoma Central. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Algoma Central Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Algoma Central is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Algoma Central's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Algoma Central, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Algoma Central within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0013 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Algoma Central Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Algoma Central for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Algoma Central can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Algoma Central generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has C$377.37 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| Algoma Central has accumulated 377.37 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 64.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Algoma Central has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Algoma Central until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Algoma Central's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Algoma Central sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Algoma to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Algoma Central's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 55.0% of Algoma Central shares are held by company insiders |
Algoma Central Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Algoma Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Algoma Central's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Algoma Central's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 32.8 M |
Algoma Central Technical Analysis
Algoma Central's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Algoma Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Algoma Central. In general, you should focus on analyzing Algoma Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Algoma Central Predictive Forecast Models
Algoma Central's time-series forecasting models is one of many Algoma Central's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Algoma Central's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Algoma Central
Checking the ongoing alerts about Algoma Central for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Algoma Central help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Algoma Central generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has C$377.37 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| Algoma Central has accumulated 377.37 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 64.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Algoma Central has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Algoma Central until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Algoma Central's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Algoma Central sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Algoma to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Algoma Central's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 55.0% of Algoma Central shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Algoma Stock
Algoma Central financial ratios help investors to determine whether Algoma Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Algoma with respect to the benefits of owning Algoma Central security.