Alpha Bank Sa Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 10.81

ALBKY Stock  USD 0.39  0.01  2.50%   
Alpha Bank's future price is the expected price of Alpha Bank instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Alpha Bank SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Alpha Bank Backtesting, Alpha Bank Valuation, Alpha Bank Correlation, Alpha Bank Hype Analysis, Alpha Bank Volatility, Alpha Bank History as well as Alpha Bank Performance.
  
Please specify Alpha Bank's target price for which you would like Alpha Bank odds to be computed.

Alpha Bank Target Price Odds to finish over 10.81

The tendency of Alpha Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 10.81  or more in 90 days
 0.39 90 days 10.81 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alpha Bank to move over $ 10.81  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Alpha Bank SA probability density function shows the probability of Alpha Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alpha Bank SA price to stay between its current price of $ 0.39  and $ 10.81  at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.21 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Alpha Bank will likely underperform. Additionally Alpha Bank SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Alpha Bank Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Alpha Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alpha Bank SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.393.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.333.81
Details

Alpha Bank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alpha Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alpha Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alpha Bank SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alpha Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Alpha Bank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alpha Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alpha Bank SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alpha Bank SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Alpha Bank SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Net Loss for the year was (2.93 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.81 B).

Alpha Bank Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alpha Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alpha Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alpha Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments13.6 B

Alpha Bank Technical Analysis

Alpha Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alpha Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alpha Bank SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alpha Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Alpha Bank Predictive Forecast Models

Alpha Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alpha Bank's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alpha Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Alpha Bank SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Alpha Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alpha Bank SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alpha Bank SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Alpha Bank SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Net Loss for the year was (2.93 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.81 B).

Additional Tools for Alpha Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Alpha Bank's price analysis, check to measure Alpha Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alpha Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Alpha Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alpha Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alpha Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alpha Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.