Great Ajax Corp Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.06

AJXDelisted Stock  USD 0.01  0  10.00%   
Great Ajax's future price is the expected price of Great Ajax instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Great Ajax Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Great Ajax Backtesting, Great Ajax Valuation, Great Ajax Correlation, Great Ajax Hype Analysis, Great Ajax Volatility, Great Ajax History as well as Great Ajax Performance.
  
Please specify Great Ajax's target price for which you would like Great Ajax odds to be computed.

Great Ajax Target Price Odds to finish below 3.06

The tendency of Great Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 3.06  after 90 days
 0.01 90 days 3.06 
about 54.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Great Ajax to stay under $ 3.06  after 90 days from now is about 54.57 (This Great Ajax Corp probability density function shows the probability of Great Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Great Ajax Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 0.01  and $ 3.06  at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.63 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.69 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Great Ajax will likely underperform. Additionally Great Ajax Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Great Ajax Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Great Ajax

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Great Ajax Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0112.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0112.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.041.482.92
Details

Great Ajax Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Great Ajax is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Great Ajax's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Great Ajax Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Great Ajax within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.58
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.69
σ
Overall volatility
0.77
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Great Ajax Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Great Ajax for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Great Ajax Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Great Ajax Corp is now traded under the symbol RPT. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
Great Ajax Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Great Ajax Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Great Ajax Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Great Ajax Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 71.14 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (46.96 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 26.91 M.
Great Ajax Corp has about 47.84 M in cash with (46.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.27, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 63.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 29th of November 2024 Great Ajax paid $ 0.06 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Insider Stock Buyers At Alexium International Group Recouped Some Losses This Week

Great Ajax Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Great Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Great Ajax's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Great Ajax's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments52.8 M

Great Ajax Technical Analysis

Great Ajax's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Great Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Great Ajax Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Great Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Great Ajax Predictive Forecast Models

Great Ajax's time-series forecasting models is one of many Great Ajax's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Great Ajax's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Great Ajax Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Great Ajax for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Great Ajax Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Great Ajax Corp is now traded under the symbol RPT. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
Great Ajax Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Great Ajax Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Great Ajax Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Great Ajax Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 71.14 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (46.96 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 26.91 M.
Great Ajax Corp has about 47.84 M in cash with (46.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.27, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 63.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 29th of November 2024 Great Ajax paid $ 0.06 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Insider Stock Buyers At Alexium International Group Recouped Some Losses This Week

Other Consideration for investing in Great Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Great Ajax Corp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Great Ajax's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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