AgJunction Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.01

AJXDelisted Stock  USD 3.00  0.02  0.67%   
AgJunction's future price is the expected price of AgJunction instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AgJunction performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
  
Please specify AgJunction's target price for which you would like AgJunction odds to be computed.

AgJunction Target Price Odds to finish below 3.01

The tendency of AgJunction Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 3.01  after 90 days
 3.00 90 days 3.01 
about 40.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AgJunction to stay under $ 3.01  after 90 days from now is about 40.47 (This AgJunction probability density function shows the probability of AgJunction Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AgJunction price to stay between its current price of $ 3.00  and $ 3.01  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon AgJunction has a beta of -591.7. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding AgJunction are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, AgJunction is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that AgJunction has an alpha of 525.239, implying that it can generate a 525.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   AgJunction Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AgJunction

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AgJunction. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.173.46303.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.13302.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.062.91135.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.252.804.35
Details

AgJunction Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AgJunction is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AgJunction's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AgJunction, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AgJunction within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
525.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones-591.7
σ
Overall volatility
0.42
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

AgJunction Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AgJunction for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AgJunction can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AgJunction is now traded under the symbol RPT. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
AgJunction is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
AgJunction is way too risky over 90 days horizon
AgJunction appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
AgJunction has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 71.14 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (46.96 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 26.91 M.
AgJunction has about 47.84 M in cash with (46.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.27.
Roughly 63.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 29th of November 2024 AgJunction paid $ 0.06 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Insider Stock Buyers At Alexium International Group Recouped Some Losses This Week

AgJunction Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AgJunction Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AgJunction's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AgJunction's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments52.8 M

AgJunction Technical Analysis

AgJunction's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AgJunction Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AgJunction. In general, you should focus on analyzing AgJunction Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AgJunction Predictive Forecast Models

AgJunction's time-series forecasting models is one of many AgJunction's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AgJunction's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AgJunction

Checking the ongoing alerts about AgJunction for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AgJunction help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AgJunction is now traded under the symbol RPT. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
AgJunction is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
AgJunction is way too risky over 90 days horizon
AgJunction appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
AgJunction has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 71.14 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (46.96 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 26.91 M.
AgJunction has about 47.84 M in cash with (46.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.27.
Roughly 63.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 29th of November 2024 AgJunction paid $ 0.06 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Insider Stock Buyers At Alexium International Group Recouped Some Losses This Week
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Other Consideration for investing in AgJunction Stock

If you are still planning to invest in AgJunction check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the AgJunction's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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