AIRTEL MALAWI (Malawi) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 109.89
| AIRTEL Stock | 99.80 0.02 0.02% |
AIRTEL |
AIRTEL MALAWI Target Price Odds to finish below 109.89
The tendency of AIRTEL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 109.89 after 90 days |
| 99.80 | 90 days | 109.89 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AIRTEL MALAWI to stay under 109.89 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This AIRTEL MALAWI PLC probability density function shows the probability of AIRTEL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AIRTEL MALAWI PLC price to stay between its current price of 99.80 and 109.89 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AIRTEL MALAWI PLC has a beta of -0.85. This suggests Moreover AIRTEL MALAWI PLC has an alpha of 1.3453, implying that it can generate a 1.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AIRTEL MALAWI Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for AIRTEL MALAWI
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AIRTEL MALAWI PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AIRTEL MALAWI's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AIRTEL MALAWI Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AIRTEL MALAWI is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AIRTEL MALAWI's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AIRTEL MALAWI PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AIRTEL MALAWI within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.85 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 17.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.38 |
AIRTEL MALAWI Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AIRTEL MALAWI for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AIRTEL MALAWI PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AIRTEL MALAWI PLC appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
AIRTEL MALAWI Technical Analysis
AIRTEL MALAWI's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AIRTEL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AIRTEL MALAWI PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing AIRTEL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AIRTEL MALAWI Predictive Forecast Models
AIRTEL MALAWI's time-series forecasting models is one of many AIRTEL MALAWI's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AIRTEL MALAWI's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AIRTEL MALAWI PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about AIRTEL MALAWI for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AIRTEL MALAWI PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AIRTEL MALAWI PLC appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |