Montana Technologies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.79
| AIRJ Stock | 9.93 1.23 14.14% |
Montana |
Montana Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 10.79
The tendency of Montana Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 10.79 after 90 days |
| 9.93 | 90 days | 10.79 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Montana Technologies to stay under 10.79 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Montana Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Montana Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Montana Technologies price to stay between its current price of 9.93 and 10.79 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.33 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Montana Technologies has a beta of -0.49. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Montana Technologies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Montana Technologies is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Montana Technologies has an alpha of 0.9052, implying that it can generate a 0.91 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Montana Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Montana Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Montana Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Montana Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Montana Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Montana Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Montana Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Montana Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.91 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Montana Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Montana Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Montana Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Montana Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Montana Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Montana Technologies was previously known as Power Digital Infrastructure and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol XPDB. | |
| Montana Technologies generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Montana Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Gutke Jeff of 12000 shares of Montana Technologies at 0.12 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Montana Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Montana Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Montana Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Montana Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 59.2 K | |
| Shares Float | 16.8 M |
Montana Technologies Technical Analysis
Montana Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Montana Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Montana Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Montana Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Montana Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Montana Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Montana Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Montana Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Montana Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Montana Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Montana Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Montana Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Montana Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Montana Technologies was previously known as Power Digital Infrastructure and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol XPDB. | |
| Montana Technologies generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Montana Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Gutke Jeff of 12000 shares of Montana Technologies at 0.12 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Montana Technologies Backtesting, Montana Technologies Valuation, Montana Technologies Correlation, Montana Technologies Hype Analysis, Montana Technologies Volatility, Montana Technologies History as well as Montana Technologies Performance. For more information on how to buy Montana Stock please use our How to buy in Montana Stock guide.You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Montana Technologies. If investors know Montana will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Montana Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.21) | Return On Assets (0.04) | Return On Equity 1.6185 |
The market value of Montana Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Montana that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Montana Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Montana Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Montana Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Montana Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Montana Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Montana Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Montana Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.