AIRA Capital (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.32
| AIRA Stock | THB 1.29 0.01 0.78% |
AIRA |
AIRA Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 1.32
The tendency of AIRA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 1.32 after 90 days |
| 1.29 | 90 days | 1.32 | about 52.92 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AIRA Capital to stay under 1.32 after 90 days from now is about 52.92 (This AIRA Capital Public probability density function shows the probability of AIRA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AIRA Capital Public price to stay between its current price of 1.29 and 1.32 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.18 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AIRA Capital has a beta of 0.4. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AIRA Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AIRA Capital Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AIRA Capital Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. AIRA Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AIRA Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AIRA Capital Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AIRA Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AIRA Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AIRA Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AIRA Capital Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AIRA Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
AIRA Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AIRA Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AIRA Capital Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AIRA Capital Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AIRA Capital Public may become a speculative penny stock | |
| AIRA Capital Public has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| AIRA Capital Public has accumulated about 1.1 B in cash with (1.15 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.17. | |
| Roughly 86.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
AIRA Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AIRA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AIRA Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AIRA Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.3 B |
AIRA Capital Technical Analysis
AIRA Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AIRA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AIRA Capital Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing AIRA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AIRA Capital Predictive Forecast Models
AIRA Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many AIRA Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AIRA Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AIRA Capital Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about AIRA Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AIRA Capital Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AIRA Capital Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AIRA Capital Public may become a speculative penny stock | |
| AIRA Capital Public has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| AIRA Capital Public has accumulated about 1.1 B in cash with (1.15 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.17. | |
| Roughly 86.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in AIRA Stock
AIRA Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether AIRA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AIRA with respect to the benefits of owning AIRA Capital security.