Salient Investment Grade Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 13.11

AIFIX Fund  USD 13.97  0.49  3.64%   
Salient Investment's future price is the expected price of Salient Investment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Salient Investment Grade performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Salient Investment Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Salient Investment Correlation, Salient Investment Hype Analysis, Salient Investment Volatility, Salient Investment History as well as Salient Investment Performance.
  
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Salient Investment Target Price Odds to finish below 13.11

The tendency of Salient Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 13.11  or more in 90 days
 13.97 90 days 13.11 
about 86.51
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Salient Investment to drop to $ 13.11  or more in 90 days from now is about 86.51 (This Salient Investment Grade probability density function shows the probability of Salient Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Salient Investment Grade price to stay between $ 13.11  and its current price of $13.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.78 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Salient Investment has a beta of 0.24. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Salient Investment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Salient Investment Grade will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Salient Investment Grade has an alpha of 0.3801, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Salient Investment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Salient Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Salient Investment Grade. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.8813.9715.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.7314.8215.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.8413.9315.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.6912.8914.09
Details

Salient Investment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Salient Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Salient Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Salient Investment Grade, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Salient Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.83
Ir
Information ratio 0.24

Salient Investment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Salient Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Salient Investment Grade can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund has annual holdings turnover of about 308.0% suggesting active trading
Salient Investment Grade holds roughly 22.1% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Salient Investment Technical Analysis

Salient Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Salient Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Salient Investment Grade. In general, you should focus on analyzing Salient Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Salient Investment Predictive Forecast Models

Salient Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Salient Investment's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Salient Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Salient Investment Grade

Checking the ongoing alerts about Salient Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Salient Investment Grade help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund has annual holdings turnover of about 308.0% suggesting active trading
Salient Investment Grade holds roughly 22.1% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Salient Mutual Fund

Salient Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Salient Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Salient with respect to the benefits of owning Salient Investment security.
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