Ashford Hospitality Trust Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 11.17
| AHT-PI Preferred Stock | USD 14.55 0.39 2.61% |
Ashford |
Ashford Hospitality Target Price Odds to finish below 11.17
The tendency of Ashford Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.17 or more in 90 days |
| 14.55 | 90 days | 11.17 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ashford Hospitality to drop to $ 11.17 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ashford Hospitality Trust probability density function shows the probability of Ashford Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ashford Hospitality Trust price to stay between $ 11.17 and its current price of $14.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ashford Hospitality Trust has a beta of -0.6. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ashford Hospitality are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ashford Hospitality Trust is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ashford Hospitality Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ashford Hospitality Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ashford Hospitality
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ashford Hospitality Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ashford Hospitality Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ashford Hospitality is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ashford Hospitality's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ashford Hospitality Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ashford Hospitality within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.6 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Ashford Hospitality Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ashford Hospitality for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ashford Hospitality Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ashford Hospitality generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ashford Hospitality has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Ashford Hospitality has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Ashford Hospitality has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 805.41 M. Net Loss for the year was (271.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 114.63 M. | |
| Ashford Hospitality Trust has accumulated about 243.48 M in cash with (144.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.38. |
Ashford Hospitality Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ashford Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ashford Hospitality's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ashford Hospitality's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 592.1 M |
Ashford Hospitality Technical Analysis
Ashford Hospitality's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ashford Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ashford Hospitality Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ashford Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ashford Hospitality Predictive Forecast Models
Ashford Hospitality's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ashford Hospitality's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ashford Hospitality's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ashford Hospitality Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ashford Hospitality for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ashford Hospitality Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ashford Hospitality generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ashford Hospitality has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Ashford Hospitality has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Ashford Hospitality has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 805.41 M. Net Loss for the year was (271.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 114.63 M. | |
| Ashford Hospitality Trust has accumulated about 243.48 M in cash with (144.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.38. |
Other Information on Investing in Ashford Preferred Stock
Ashford Hospitality financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ashford Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ashford with respect to the benefits of owning Ashford Hospitality security.