AHOLD DELHAIADR16 (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.4
| AHOD Stock | EUR 30.80 0.20 0.65% |
AHOLD |
AHOLD DELHAIADR16 Target Price Odds to finish below 31.4
The tendency of AHOLD Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 31.40 after 90 days |
| 30.80 | 90 days | 31.40 | about 66.41 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AHOLD DELHAIADR16 to stay under € 31.40 after 90 days from now is about 66.41 (This AHOLD DELHAIADR16 EO 25 probability density function shows the probability of AHOLD Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AHOLD DELHAIADR16 price to stay between its current price of € 30.80 and € 31.40 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.98 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AHOLD DELHAIADR16 has a beta of 0.32. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AHOLD DELHAIADR16 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AHOLD DELHAIADR16 EO 25 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AHOLD DELHAIADR16 EO 25 has an alpha of 0.0268, implying that it can generate a 0.0268 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AHOLD DELHAIADR16 Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AHOLD DELHAIADR16
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AHOLD DELHAIADR16. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AHOLD DELHAIADR16's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AHOLD DELHAIADR16 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AHOLD DELHAIADR16 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AHOLD DELHAIADR16's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AHOLD DELHAIADR16 EO 25, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AHOLD DELHAIADR16 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
AHOLD DELHAIADR16 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AHOLD DELHAIADR16 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AHOLD DELHAIADR16 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AHOLD DELHAIADR16 has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| AHOLD DELHAIADR16 EO 25 has accumulated 16.05 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 110.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. AHOLD DELHAIADR16 has a current ratio of 0.8, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist AHOLD DELHAIADR16 until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AHOLD DELHAIADR16's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AHOLD DELHAIADR16 sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AHOLD to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AHOLD DELHAIADR16's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
AHOLD DELHAIADR16 Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AHOLD Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AHOLD DELHAIADR16's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AHOLD DELHAIADR16's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0371 |
AHOLD DELHAIADR16 Technical Analysis
AHOLD DELHAIADR16's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AHOLD Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AHOLD DELHAIADR16 EO 25. In general, you should focus on analyzing AHOLD Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AHOLD DELHAIADR16 Predictive Forecast Models
AHOLD DELHAIADR16's time-series forecasting models is one of many AHOLD DELHAIADR16's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AHOLD DELHAIADR16's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AHOLD DELHAIADR16
Checking the ongoing alerts about AHOLD DELHAIADR16 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AHOLD DELHAIADR16 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AHOLD DELHAIADR16 has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| AHOLD DELHAIADR16 EO 25 has accumulated 16.05 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 110.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. AHOLD DELHAIADR16 has a current ratio of 0.8, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist AHOLD DELHAIADR16 until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AHOLD DELHAIADR16's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AHOLD DELHAIADR16 sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AHOLD to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AHOLD DELHAIADR16's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in AHOLD Stock
AHOLD DELHAIADR16 financial ratios help investors to determine whether AHOLD Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AHOLD with respect to the benefits of owning AHOLD DELHAIADR16 security.