Aguila American Gold Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.27
| AGLAFDelisted Stock | USD 0.28 0.00 0.00% |
Aguila |
Aguila American Target Price Odds to finish over 0.27
The tendency of Aguila OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 0.27 in 90 days |
| 0.28 | 90 days | 0.27 | about 1.9 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aguila American to stay above $ 0.27 in 90 days from now is about 1.9 (This Aguila American Gold probability density function shows the probability of Aguila OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aguila American Gold price to stay between $ 0.27 and its current price of $0.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.26 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aguila American Gold has a beta of -0.38. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Aguila American are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Aguila American Gold is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Aguila American Gold has an alpha of 0.1939, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aguila American Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aguila American
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aguila American Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aguila American Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aguila American is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aguila American's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aguila American Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aguila American within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Aguila American Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aguila American for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aguila American Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aguila American Gold is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Aguila American Gold is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Aguila American Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Aguila American Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Aguila American Gold has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Aguila American Gold has accumulated about 1.65 M in cash with (423.09 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06. | |
| Roughly 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Aguila American Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aguila OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aguila American's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aguila American's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24 M |
Aguila American Technical Analysis
Aguila American's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aguila OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aguila American Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aguila OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aguila American Predictive Forecast Models
Aguila American's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aguila American's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aguila American's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aguila American Gold
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aguila American for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aguila American Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aguila American Gold is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Aguila American Gold is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Aguila American Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Aguila American Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Aguila American Gold has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Aguila American Gold has accumulated about 1.65 M in cash with (423.09 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06. | |
| Roughly 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. Note that the Aguila American Gold information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Aguila American's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Other Consideration for investing in Aguila OTC Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Aguila American Gold check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Aguila American's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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