Agile Content (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.18
| AGIL Stock | EUR 3.04 0.04 1.33% |
Agile |
Agile Content Target Price Odds to finish below 3.18
The tendency of Agile Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 3.18 after 90 days |
| 3.04 | 90 days | 3.18 | about 13.2 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Agile Content to stay under € 3.18 after 90 days from now is about 13.2 (This Agile Content SA probability density function shows the probability of Agile Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Agile Content SA price to stay between its current price of € 3.04 and € 3.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.38 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Agile Content has a beta of 0.13. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Agile Content average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Agile Content SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Agile Content SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Agile Content Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Agile Content
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Agile Content SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Agile Content Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Agile Content is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Agile Content's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Agile Content SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Agile Content within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Agile Content Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Agile Content for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Agile Content SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Agile Content SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Agile Content SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Agile Content SA has accumulated 18.26 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 81.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Agile Content SA has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Agile Content until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Agile Content's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Agile Content SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Agile to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Agile Content's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 54.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.71 M. | |
| About 45.0% of Agile Content shares are held by company insiders |
Agile Content Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Agile Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Agile Content's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agile Content's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.1 M |
Agile Content Technical Analysis
Agile Content's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Agile Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Agile Content SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Agile Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Agile Content Predictive Forecast Models
Agile Content's time-series forecasting models is one of many Agile Content's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Agile Content's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Agile Content SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Agile Content for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Agile Content SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Agile Content SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Agile Content SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Agile Content SA has accumulated 18.26 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 81.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Agile Content SA has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Agile Content until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Agile Content's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Agile Content SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Agile to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Agile Content's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 54.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.71 M. | |
| About 45.0% of Agile Content shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Agile Stock
Agile Content financial ratios help investors to determine whether Agile Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Agile with respect to the benefits of owning Agile Content security.