Pacer Financial Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 11.68
| AFTY Etf | USD 16.31 0.00 0.00% |
Pacer |
Pacer Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 11.68
The tendency of Pacer Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.68 or more in 90 days |
| 16.31 | 90 days | 11.68 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pacer Financial to drop to $ 11.68 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Pacer Financial probability density function shows the probability of Pacer Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pacer Financial price to stay between $ 11.68 and its current price of $16.31 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Pacer Financial has a beta of -0.27. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Pacer Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Pacer Financial is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Pacer Financial has an alpha of 0.2287, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pacer Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pacer Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pacer Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pacer Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Pacer Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pacer Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pacer Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pacer Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pacer Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Pacer Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pacer Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pacer Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pacer Financial is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Pacer Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund created three year return of -6.0% | |
| Pacer Financial holds 99.38% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Pacer Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pacer Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pacer Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pacer Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Pacer Financial Technical Analysis
Pacer Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pacer Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pacer Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pacer Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pacer Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Pacer Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pacer Financial's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pacer Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pacer Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pacer Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pacer Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pacer Financial is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Pacer Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund created three year return of -6.0% | |
| Pacer Financial holds 99.38% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
The market value of Pacer Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pacer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pacer Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pacer Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pacer Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pacer Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pacer Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pacer Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pacer Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.