AFRIQUIA GAZ (Morocco) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3,805
| AFRIQUIA-GAZ | 3,800 20.00 0.52% |
AFRIQUIA |
AFRIQUIA GAZ Target Price Odds to finish below 3,805
The tendency of AFRIQUIA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 3,800 | 90 days | 3,800 | about 17.16 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AFRIQUIA GAZ to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 17.16 (This AFRIQUIA GAZ probability density function shows the probability of AFRIQUIA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AFRIQUIA GAZ has a beta of -0.11. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AFRIQUIA GAZ are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AFRIQUIA GAZ is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AFRIQUIA GAZ has an alpha of 0.002, implying that it can generate a 0.002049 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AFRIQUIA GAZ Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AFRIQUIA GAZ
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AFRIQUIA GAZ. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AFRIQUIA GAZ Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AFRIQUIA GAZ is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AFRIQUIA GAZ's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AFRIQUIA GAZ, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AFRIQUIA GAZ within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 33.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
AFRIQUIA GAZ Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AFRIQUIA GAZ for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AFRIQUIA GAZ can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AFRIQUIA GAZ generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
AFRIQUIA GAZ Technical Analysis
AFRIQUIA GAZ's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AFRIQUIA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AFRIQUIA GAZ. In general, you should focus on analyzing AFRIQUIA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AFRIQUIA GAZ Predictive Forecast Models
AFRIQUIA GAZ's time-series forecasting models is one of many AFRIQUIA GAZ's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AFRIQUIA GAZ's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AFRIQUIA GAZ
Checking the ongoing alerts about AFRIQUIA GAZ for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AFRIQUIA GAZ help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AFRIQUIA GAZ generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |