AFP Capital (Chile) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 250.00

AFPCAPITAL   250.00  13.00  5.49%   
AFP Capital's future price is the expected price of AFP Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AFP Capital SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
  
Please specify AFP Capital's target price for which you would like AFP Capital odds to be computed.

AFP Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 250.00

The tendency of AFP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 250.00 90 days 250.00 
about 11.55
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AFP Capital to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 11.55 (This AFP Capital SA probability density function shows the probability of AFP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AFP Capital SA has a beta of -0.25. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AFP Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AFP Capital SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AFP Capital SA has an alpha of 0.2854, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   AFP Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AFP Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AFP Capital SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
250.00250.00250.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
237.75237.75275.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
255.21255.21255.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
250.00250.00250.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AFP Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AFP Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AFP Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AFP Capital SA.

AFP Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AFP Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AFP Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AFP Capital SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AFP Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.25
σ
Overall volatility
13.75
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

AFP Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AFP Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AFP Capital SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AFP Capital SA is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
AFP Capital SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
AFP Capital generates negative cash flow from operations
About 100.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

AFP Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AFP Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AFP Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AFP Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.1 B

AFP Capital Technical Analysis

AFP Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AFP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AFP Capital SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing AFP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AFP Capital Predictive Forecast Models

AFP Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many AFP Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AFP Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AFP Capital SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about AFP Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AFP Capital SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AFP Capital SA is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
AFP Capital SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
AFP Capital generates negative cash flow from operations
About 100.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in AFP Stock

AFP Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether AFP Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AFP with respect to the benefits of owning AFP Capital security.