Advent Technologies Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0842
| ADNWW Stock | USD 0.01 0.0003 3.33% |
Advent |
Advent Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0842
The tendency of Advent Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.08 after 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.08 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Advent Technologies to stay under $ 0.08 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Advent Technologies Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Advent Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Advent Technologies price to stay between its current price of $ 0.01 and $ 0.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.84 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Advent Technologies has a beta of 0.86. This suggests Advent Technologies Holdings market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Advent Technologies is expected to follow. Additionally Advent Technologies Holdings has an alpha of 0.585, implying that it can generate a 0.59 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Advent Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Advent Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Advent Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Advent Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Advent Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Advent Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Advent Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Advent Technologies Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Advent Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.59 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.86 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Advent Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Advent Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Advent Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Advent Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Advent Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Advent Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Advent Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (71.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Advent Technologies generates negative cash flow from operations |
Advent Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Advent Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Advent Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Advent Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.4 M | |
| Shares Float | 2.2 M |
Advent Technologies Technical Analysis
Advent Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Advent Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Advent Technologies Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Advent Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Advent Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Advent Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Advent Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Advent Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Advent Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Advent Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Advent Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Advent Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Advent Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Advent Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Advent Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (71.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Advent Technologies generates negative cash flow from operations |
Additional Tools for Advent Stock Analysis
When running Advent Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Advent Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advent Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Advent Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advent Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advent Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advent Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.