Advent Technologies Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.08
| ADN Stock | USD 6.39 0.31 5.10% |
Closest to current price Advent long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
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Advent Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 6.08
The tendency of Advent Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 6.08 or more in 90 days |
| 6.39 | 90 days | 6.08 | about 91.15 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Advent Technologies to drop to $ 6.08 or more in 90 days from now is about 91.15 (This Advent Technologies Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Advent Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Advent Technologies price to stay between $ 6.08 and its current price of $6.39 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.27 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Advent Technologies Holdings has a beta of -3.54. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Advent Technologies Holdings are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Advent Technologies is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Advent Technologies Holdings has an alpha of 3.0967, implying that it can generate a 3.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Advent Technologies Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Advent Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Advent Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Advent Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Advent Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Advent Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Advent Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Advent Technologies Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Advent Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 3.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -3.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Advent Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Advent Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Advent Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Advent Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Advent Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Advent Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.86 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (71.4 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.66 M. | |
| Advent Technologies Holdings has about 46.54 M in cash with (32.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.9. | |
| Roughly 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Advent Technologies faces Nasdaq delisting over filing delay |
Advent Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Advent Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Advent Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Advent Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.4 M | |
| Shares Float | 2.2 M |
Advent Technologies Technical Analysis
Advent Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Advent Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Advent Technologies Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Advent Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Advent Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Advent Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Advent Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Advent Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Advent Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Advent Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Advent Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Advent Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Advent Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Advent Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.86 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (71.4 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.66 M. | |
| Advent Technologies Holdings has about 46.54 M in cash with (32.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.9. | |
| Roughly 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Advent Technologies faces Nasdaq delisting over filing delay |
Check out Advent Technologies Backtesting, Advent Technologies Valuation, Advent Technologies Correlation, Advent Technologies Hype Analysis, Advent Technologies Volatility, Advent Technologies History as well as Advent Technologies Performance. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Is Electric Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Advent Technologies. If investors know Advent will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Advent Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (25.90) | Revenue Per Share 2.998 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.28) | Return On Assets (0.74) | Return On Equity (3.13) |
The market value of Advent Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Advent that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Advent Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Advent Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Advent Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Advent Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Advent Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Advent Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Advent Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.