Adex Mining Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.009019

ADE Stock  CAD 0.01  0.00  0.00%   
Adex Mining's future price is the expected price of Adex Mining instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Adex Mining performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Adex Mining Backtesting, Adex Mining Valuation, Adex Mining Correlation, Adex Mining Hype Analysis, Adex Mining Volatility, Adex Mining History as well as Adex Mining Performance.
  
Please specify Adex Mining's target price for which you would like Adex Mining odds to be computed.

Adex Mining Target Price Odds to finish below 0.009019

The tendency of Adex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 0.01  or more in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.01 
about 26.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Adex Mining to drop to C$ 0.01  or more in 90 days from now is about 26.46 (This Adex Mining probability density function shows the probability of Adex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Adex Mining price to stay between C$ 0.01  and its current price of C$0.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.26 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 10.02 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Adex Mining will likely underperform. Additionally Adex Mining has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Adex Mining Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Adex Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adex Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0115.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.00015.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00020.0115.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.010.01
Details

Adex Mining Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Adex Mining is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Adex Mining's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Adex Mining, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Adex Mining within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones10.02
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio -0.0082

Adex Mining Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Adex Mining for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Adex Mining can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Adex Mining generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Adex Mining has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Adex Mining has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Adex Mining has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Adex Mining has accumulated 7 M in total debt. Adex Mining has a current ratio of 0.33, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Adex Mining until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Adex Mining's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Adex Mining sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Adex to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Adex Mining's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (767.69 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (302.55 K).
Adex Mining has accumulated about 22 K in cash with (660.08 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Adex Mining Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Adex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Adex Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Adex Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding677.2 M

Adex Mining Technical Analysis

Adex Mining's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Adex Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Adex Mining. In general, you should focus on analyzing Adex Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Adex Mining Predictive Forecast Models

Adex Mining's time-series forecasting models is one of many Adex Mining's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Adex Mining's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Adex Mining

Checking the ongoing alerts about Adex Mining for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Adex Mining help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Adex Mining generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Adex Mining has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Adex Mining has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Adex Mining has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Adex Mining has accumulated 7 M in total debt. Adex Mining has a current ratio of 0.33, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Adex Mining until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Adex Mining's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Adex Mining sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Adex to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Adex Mining's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (767.69 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (302.55 K).
Adex Mining has accumulated about 22 K in cash with (660.08 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Adex Stock Analysis

When running Adex Mining's price analysis, check to measure Adex Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Adex Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Adex Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Adex Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Adex Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Adex Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.