Acrivon Therapeutics, Common Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.21
| ACRV Stock | 5.64 0.28 4.73% |
Acrivon |
Acrivon Therapeutics, Target Price Odds to finish below 8.21
The tendency of Acrivon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 8.21 after 90 days |
| 5.64 | 90 days | 8.21 | about 90.65 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Acrivon Therapeutics, to stay under 8.21 after 90 days from now is about 90.65 (This Acrivon Therapeutics, Common probability density function shows the probability of Acrivon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Acrivon Therapeutics, price to stay between its current price of 5.64 and 8.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.01 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Acrivon Therapeutics, has a beta of 0.0645. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Acrivon Therapeutics, average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Acrivon Therapeutics, Common will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Acrivon Therapeutics, Common has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Acrivon Therapeutics, Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Acrivon Therapeutics,
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acrivon Therapeutics,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Acrivon Therapeutics, Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Acrivon Therapeutics, is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Acrivon Therapeutics,'s value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Acrivon Therapeutics, Common, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Acrivon Therapeutics, within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Acrivon Therapeutics, Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Acrivon Therapeutics, for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Acrivon Therapeutics, can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Acrivon Therapeutics, generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Acrivon Therapeutics, has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (60.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Acrivon Therapeutics, generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Acrivon Therapeutics, has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Acrivon Therapeutics SWOT analysis oncology innovators stock faces pivotal phase |
Acrivon Therapeutics, Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Acrivon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Acrivon Therapeutics,'s investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acrivon Therapeutics,'s indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 127.5 M |
Acrivon Therapeutics, Technical Analysis
Acrivon Therapeutics,'s future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Acrivon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Acrivon Therapeutics, Common. In general, you should focus on analyzing Acrivon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Acrivon Therapeutics, Predictive Forecast Models
Acrivon Therapeutics,'s time-series forecasting models is one of many Acrivon Therapeutics,'s stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Acrivon Therapeutics,'s historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Acrivon Therapeutics,
Checking the ongoing alerts about Acrivon Therapeutics, for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Acrivon Therapeutics, help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Acrivon Therapeutics, generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Acrivon Therapeutics, has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (60.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Acrivon Therapeutics, generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Acrivon Therapeutics, has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Acrivon Therapeutics SWOT analysis oncology innovators stock faces pivotal phase |
Additional Tools for Acrivon Stock Analysis
When running Acrivon Therapeutics,'s price analysis, check to measure Acrivon Therapeutics,'s market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Acrivon Therapeutics, is operating at the current time. Most of Acrivon Therapeutics,'s value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Acrivon Therapeutics,'s future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Acrivon Therapeutics,'s price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Acrivon Therapeutics, to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.